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Bearish As of Jun 30, 2026 17:00 ET Download PDF

Daily Energy & Shipping Briefing — Jul 01, 2026

Crude oil prices declined on Tuesday, returning to pre-war levels amidst rising supply and hopes for a US-Iran peace deal, though refined product margins remained elevated. Global equities closed the first half of 2026 higher, led by technology stocks, while the Euro weakened against a strong US Dollar. Shipping markets saw VLCC spot rates moderate from recent highs, but newbuild and secondhand values remained firm.

Energy Prices

Crude

Instrument Unit Last Δ Day
Brent ICE $/bbl 70.46 -1.60
WTI NYMEX $/bbl 70.56 -1.80

Products

Instrument Unit Last Δ Day
RBOB Gasoline NYMEX c/gal 298.00 -2.40
NY Harbor ULSD NYMEX c/gal 285.50 -1.50

Natural Gas

Instrument Unit Last Δ Day
US Henry Hub NYMEX $/MMBtu 3.22 -0.02
TTF (Europe) ICE EUR/MWh 35.50 +0.75

Natural Gas Liquids

Instrument Unit Last Δ Day
US Mont Belvieu Propane NYMEX $/mt 369.06 -6.30
US Mont Belvieu Ethane NYMEX $/gal 0.28 +0.01

Price Spreads

Instrument Unit Last Δ Day
RBOB Gasoline/Brent Crack Spread $/bbl 54.70 +0.59
ULSD/Brent Crack Spread $/bbl 50.20 +0.30

Shipping Rates & Bunkers

Dirty Tanker (Spot TCE, $/day)

Vessel Route Spot TCE Avg YTD
VLCC, 270 AG-FE 287,000 250,000
Suezmax, 130 WAF-UKC 110,000 95,000

Clean Tanker (Spot TCE, $/day)

Vessel Route Spot TCE Avg YTD
LR2, 75 AG-FE 20,500 26,400
MR, 37 TC2 (UKC-USAC) 28,000 29,500

Time Charter & Asset Values

Vessel 1yr ($/day) Newbuild ($M) 5yr ($M)
VLCC, 200+ 105,000 130.5 138.0
Suezmax, 130 65,000 88.0 107.5

LNG Vessels ($/day)

Type Spot Sentiment 52wk Avg
160M3 Tri-fuel diesel electric (East) 13,000 Flat 30,231
174M3 TFDE (Atlantic) 15,000 Firm 35,000

Bunkers ($/mt)

Port VLSFO HSFO MGO
Singapore 684.0 461.0 885.0
Rotterdam 670.0 450.0 870.0

LPG (Spot TCE, $/day)

VLGC, 44 (AG-Japan) 34,643
VLGC, 44 (USGC-Japan) 42,000

Carbon Markets

Instrument Unit Bid Offer
European Union Allowances (Spot) EUR/ton 70.00 70.05
California Carbon Allowances (Spot) $/ton 38.50 38.60

Equities & Currencies

Index Region Last Δ Day
S&P 500 United States 7,499.36 +58.93
Dow Jones Industrial Average United States 52,319.20 +136.46
Pair Region Last Δ Day
EUR/$ European Union 1.14 0.00
USD/JPY Japan 158.20 +0.35

Developments

  • Crude Slides on Rising Supply Amid US-Iran Peace Deal Hopes

    Oil prices declined as shipping traffic through the Strait of Hormuz picked up amid hopes for a permanent US-Iran peace deal and new warnings of a near-term glut. Brent's September contract settled near $73 a barrel, while WTI fell to around $70 a barrel.

    Bloomberg/Rigzone · Jun 30, 2026

  • Brent Crude Returns to Pre-War Price, Supporting Refining Margins

    Brent crude settled at $73.15 a barrel, just above its pre-conflict close, returning crude prices to near pre-war levels. However, refined products like Singapore gasoil and gasoline remain significantly above their pre-war prices, extending margin advantages for refiners.

    Crux Investor · Jun 30, 2026

  • Euro Falls as Strong Dollar Pushes EUR/USD Below 1.1400

    The EUR/USD pair came under renewed selling pressure, breaking below the 1.1400 handle, as heightened demand for the safe-haven US Dollar was driven by Iran-related risks and firm Federal Reserve rate expectations. Fading expectations for a European Central Bank rate hike in 2026 also weighed on the Euro.

    TradingPedia · Jun 30, 2026

  • S&P 500, Dow Jones and Nasdaq Close First Half of 2026 Higher as Chip Stocks Lead Wall Street

    US stock markets concluded the first half of 2026 on a high note, with the S&P 500, Dow Jones, and Nasdaq all posting gains. Semiconductor stocks, led by Nvidia and AMD, fueled the rally, with the S&P 500 gaining 0.79% to close at 7,499.36.

    The Economic Times · Jun 30, 2026

  • Pan Ocean Accelerates VLCC Fleet Growth with $244.5 Million Order for Dual Ammonia-Ready Tankers

    South Korean shipping company Pan Ocean announced an additional order for two VLCCs, valued at approximately $244.5 million, to be built with an 'ammonia-ready' design. This latest investment brings the owner's total spending on VLCCs this year to more than $1.5 billion.

    iMarine/Riviera Maritime Media · Jun 30, 2026

  • Hormuz Half-Open: Tanker Fleet Prices in Recovery Hope

    VLCC earnings on key Middle East routes plunged to their lowest since before the conflict started, with daily rates for a VLCC from the Middle East to China quoted around $287,000. This is down from over $500,000 shortly before a peace accord was announced, as vessels accumulated in the Middle East.

    BOE Report · Jun 30, 2026

  • Singapore Fuel Oil Stocks Fall 18% in June 2026, VLSFO Lead Times Widen

    Singapore's residual fuel oil stocks averaged 18% lower in June compared to May, driven by a sharp decline in net fuel oil imports. Very low sulfur fuel oil (VLSFO) supply in Singapore remains under pressure, with recommended lead times varying significantly among suppliers.

    IndexBox · Jun 29, 2026