The U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) forecasts Alaska’s crude oil production will experience its most significant annual increase since the 1980s. New data from the agency supports this projection. This outlook signals a notable shift in the state’s energy landscape.

Projected Production Surge
The EIA specifically projects a substantial 13% rise in output from Alaska’s North Slope by 2026. This increase highlights a period of renewed growth for the region’s oil sector. Such a surge could significantly impact the state’s economic outlook.
Historical Context and Significance
This anticipated jump represents the largest annual increase in Alaskan oil production in decades. The last time the state saw such substantial growth was during the 1980s. Consequently, energy analysts are closely monitoring these developments as they unfold.
Key Development Projects
Two major projects primarily drive this projected production growth. These developments are bringing new barrels online at a rapid pace. Their combined output contributes significantly to the overall forecast.
ConocoPhillips’ Nuna Project
ConocoPhillips’ Nuna project is a key contributor to the expected increase. The project’s fast-ramping production plays a crucial role. This development underscores ConocoPhillips’ continued investment in the region.
Pikka Phase 1 Development
The Pikka Phase 1 development also contributes significantly to the anticipated output rise. This project is a joint venture between Santos and Repsol. Its rapid ramp-up complements the Nuna project’s output, bolstering Alaska’s overall production figures.




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